Can Coinbase’s India Comeback Spark a Crypto Revolution in 2025?

Key Highlights

  • FIU Registration Secured: Coinbase gained Financial Intelligence Unit approval on March 11, 2025, enabling it to resume crypto trading services in India after a two-year hiatus, with retail offerings planned for later this year.
  • Regulatory Navigation: The approval follows Coinbase’s 2023 exit due to RBI pressure and UPI setbacks, reflecting its compliance-first strategy in a market with a 30% crypto tax and banking reluctance.
  • Potential Unleashed: Targeting India’s 12% share of global Web3 developers and 9% adoption rate, Coinbase’s return could boost liquidity and innovation, filling gaps left by WazirX’s collapse.

Coinbase, the U.S.-based cryptocurrency exchange giant, has secured a pivotal victory in its quest to re-enter the Indian market, gaining registration with India’s Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) on March 11, 2025. This approval marks a turning point for the Nasdaq-listed firm, which retreated from India in 2023 amid regulatory headwinds, and signals its intent to launch retail trading services later this year. With India’s crypto adoption surging—9% of its population now holds digital assets per a 2025 ECB survey—and a vibrant developer community quadrupling its global share since 2018, Coinbase’s return could catalyze a seismic shift in one of the world’s most promising yet challenging crypto markets.

The FIU registration, a prerequisite for operating legally in India, enables Coinbase to offer trading services under the country’s anti-money laundering framework, a process that mirrors the compliance path carved by rivals like Binance, which resumed operations in August 2024 after a seven-month ban. Coinbase’s initial foray into India in April 2022 lasted mere days, halted by “informal pressure” from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and a lack of support from the National Payments Corporation of India (NPCI) for its Unified Payments Interface (UPI) integration. CEO Brian Armstrong later acknowledged this regulatory friction, which saw the exchange suspend new user onboarding by June 2023 while maintaining wallet services. Now, with FIU approval in hand, Coinbase is poised to rebuild, promising a phased rollout of services and deeper investment in the region.

India’s crypto landscape is a paradox of potential and peril. Despite legal trading, a 30% tax on crypto income and a 1% tax-deducted-at-source (TDS) introduced in 2022 have stifled market growth, while banks remain wary of servicing crypto firms to avoid RBI ire. The collapse of WazirX in 2024—losing half its reserves to a $235 million hack—left a void that Coinbase, alongside local players like CoinSwitch and CoinDCX (both Coinbase-backed), could fill. John O’Loghlen, Coinbase’s Asia Pacific managing director, underscored India’s allure: “It’s one of the most exciting market opportunities globally, and we’re committed to complying with local regulations while expanding our footprint.” This aligns with India’s evolving stance, as officials review crypto policies amid global shifts, including the U.S.’s pro-crypto pivot under Trump’s administration.

Coinbase’s strategy hinges on leveraging India’s tech prowess. The country’s share of global has soared from 3% in 2018 to 12% by 2023, the fastest growth among emerging markets, fueled by a startup ecosystem and institutional curiosity. Yet, the regulatory terrain remains treacherous. The FIU’s crackdown on non-compliant offshore exchanges in December 2023—including notices to Coinbase, Binance, and KuCoin—underscored India’s demand for transparency, with Binance and KuCoin later registering after penalties. Coinbase’s compliance-first approach, bolstered by Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal’s appointment to the U.S.-India Business Council board in February 2025, reflects a calculated bid to navigate this landscape, strengthening ties between U.S. and Indian financial innovation.

The implications are profound. India’s 1.4 billion-strong population offers a massive untapped user base, yet its crypto market lags behind leaders like the U.S. (18% adoption) or Slovenia (15%), per Statista estimates. Coinbase’s re-entry could boost liquidity and legitimacy, especially post-WazirX, competing with Binance, KuCoin, and local exchanges. Its prior investments in CoinSwitch and CoinDCX signal a dual strategy—direct services plus ecosystem support—while its global playbook, like the UK’s FCA approval for CB Payments Ltd., suggests a scalable model. The SEC’s dismissal of its lawsuit against Coinbase in early 2025 further frees resources for international expansion, reinforcing its India push.

Operationally, Coinbase faces hurdles. Banking reluctance—a legacy of RBI caution—complicates fiat on-ramps, though FIU approval may ease this over time. The 30% tax and 1% TDS deter casual traders, potentially capping retail uptake unless policy softens. India’s reassessment of crypto regulations, spurred by global trends and U.S. policy shifts, could yield a more favorable framework, but Economic Affairs Secretary Ajay Seth has stressed a multilateral approach, noting cryptocurrencies’ borderless nature. Coinbase’s phased rollout—starting with retail services and expanding to unspecified products—aims for flexibility, mirroring its Bermuda derivatives success since 2023.

If successful, this re-entry could inspire other exchanges, amplifying India’s footprint. By year-end 2025, Coinbase’s impact will hinge on execution—balancing compliance, user trust, and market realities in a nation poised between crypto caution and ambition.

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N. Singh
N. Singh